Based on his experience, this was the most correct approach.
This task had a very strange aspect.
No matter how you chose, one of the two children would trigger the alarm, thus missing the chance to assassinate Kalmetz. But completing the assassination of Kalmetz first would at least buy half an hour of time.
And once that opportunity was missed, some bad changes would occur with Kalmetz later on. The children would be kidnapped, causing him to lose all reason, becoming insane and paranoid, and under immense pressure, he would proactively incite a direct conflict with Velazquez.
Velazquez, on the other hand, would, due to overconfidence and narrative-level pressure, rashly initiate an attack early on, carrying out a decapitation operation against Kalmetz, leading to the player's mission failure.